Current:Home > ContactScientists closely watching these 3 disastrous climate change scenarios -GrowthInsight
Scientists closely watching these 3 disastrous climate change scenarios
View
Date:2025-04-17 14:30:31
A host of potential climate change catastrophes worry scientists, but some scenarios are so dire that experts are constantly monitoring how close we are to disaster.
This week brought some good climate news about one those scenarios in Antarctica: The so-called "Doomsday glacier" may be more stable than previously thought, according to new research published Wednesday.
The Thwaites Glacier on the vast West Antarctica Ice Sheet is commonly called the "Doomsday Glacier" because of its potential to significantly raise sea levels, inundating low-lying coastal communities and displacing millions of people.
Meanwhile, scientists keep tracking several other potential large-scale climate troublemakers. Scenarios including the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) and the Greenland ice sheet have the potential to radically reshape life on Earth in the coming years, decades or centuries.
Here's the latest:
'Doomsday glacier': Worst-case scenario is unlikely, for now
The Thwaites Glacier has been studied for years as an indicator of human-caused climate change.
In one nightmare scenario, the glacier's melt fuels a 50-foot rise in sea level. The Florida Peninsula would be submerged, save for a strip of interior high ground spanning from Gainesville to north of Lake Okeechobee, with the state's coastal cities underwater.
That scenario now looks unlikely — for now, the new study says.
"We know this extreme projection is unlikely over the course of the 21st century," said study lead author Mathieu Morlighem, a Dartmouth University professor of earth sciences, in a statement.
The good news comes with plenty of caveats. Authors stress that the accelerating loss of ice from Greenland and Antarctica is nonetheless dire.
"Unfortunately, Thwaites Glacier is still going to retreat and with it most of the West Antarctic ice sheet, but not as rapidly as one scenario suggested," Morlighem told USA TODAY in an e-mail. He added that even though a rapid collapse was a "low likelihood" scenario in the latest report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, "we show is that it is even less likely than we thought."
Sea level is probably going to rise by roughly 2-3 feet by the end of the century and continue to rise after, as the ice sheets continue to melt, he told USA TODAY.
Greenland's ice sheet: A mix of good and bad news
There's been mixed news about a similarly troubling ice sheet in Greenland.
Overall, the ice sheet covers more than 656,000 square miles, and if it were to fully melt, the global sea level would rise about 20 feet, according to the National Snow and Ice Date Center.
News continues to be worrisome in Greenland, which is losing about 270 billion tons of ice per year, adding to sea level rise, NASA said. A study earlier this year found that the ice sheet in Greenland is melting faster than researchers had thought.
But a study last year found that the sheet may be more resistant to climate change than once thought.
Basically, the study found that "the worst-case scenario of ice sheet collapse and consequent sea-level rise can be avoided – and even partly reversed – if we manage to reduce the global temperatures projected for after 2100," previously said Bryn Hubbard, a professor of glaciology at Aberystwyth University in Wales.
AMOC collapse: Scientists still studying feared 'Day After Tomorrow' ocean current
The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) – a large system of ocean currents that carry warm water from the tropics into the North Atlantic – could collapse by the middle of the century, or possibly any time from 2025 onward, because of human-caused climate change, a study published last year suggests.
The AMOC gained international attention in 2004 with the release of the scientifically inaccurate disaster movie "The Day After Tomorrow," which used such an ocean current shutdown as the premise of the film.
An AMOC collapse in real life could trigger rapid weather and climate changes in the U.S., Europe and elsewhere. If it were to happen, it could bring about an ice age in Europe and sea-level rise in cities such as Boston and New York, as well as more potent storms and hurricanes along the East Coast.
Another study suggests the collapse could occur by 2050, but the research is still preliminary. Earlier this year, a published study found a collapse of the current was coming at some point, but didn't offer clues as to when it could occur.
veryGood! (25)
Related
- Why we love Bear Pond Books, a ski town bookstore with a French bulldog 'Staff Pup'
- A New York City lawmaker accused of bringing a gun to a pro-Palestinian protest is arraigned
- Prince William Reveals Prince George Is a Budding Athlete
- China and Southeast Asia nations vow to conclude a nonaggression pact faster as sea crises escalate
- Civic engagement nonprofits say democracy needs support in between big elections. Do funders agree?
- Treasury Secretary Yellen calls for more US-Latin America trade, in part to lessen Chinese influence
- Rights groups report widespread war crimes across Africa’s Sahel region with communities under siege
- Prince William Reveals Prince George Is a Budding Athlete
- Tom Holland's New Venture Revealed
- New Zealand’s final election count means incoming premier Christopher Luxon needs broader support
Ranking
- Travis Hunter, the 2
- 11 Essentials To Make It Feel Like Fall, No Matter Where You Live
- Matthew Perry's memoir tops Amazon's best-selling books list days after his passing
- Save Up to 80% Off On Cashmere From Quince Which Shoppers Say Feels Like a Cloud
- Head of the Federal Aviation Administration to resign, allowing Trump to pick his successor
- Proof Bradley Cooper and Gigi Hadid's Night Out Is Anything But Shallow
- Legendary Indiana basketball coach Bob Knight dies at 83
- Video captures final screams of pro cyclist Mo Wilson after accused killer Kaitlin Armstrong tracked her on fitness app, prosecutor says
Recommendation
Blake Lively’s Inner Circle Shares Rare Insight on Her Life as a Mom to 4 Kids
Nigeria’s government budgets for SUVs and president’s wife while millions struggle to make ends meet
'Succession' star Alan Ruck's car crashes into pizza shop and 2 cars: Reports
The FBI is investigating a Texas sheriff’s office, a woman interviewed by agents says
Federal court filings allege official committed perjury in lawsuit tied to Louisiana grain terminal
38th annual Rock & Roll Hall of Fame induction: How to watch the 2023 ceremony on Disney+
Hailey Bieber Models Calvin Klein's Holiday Collection ... & It's On Sale
An Ohio amendment serves as a testing ground for statewide abortion fights expected in 2024